While NATO considers the recent Russian signals regarding the continuation of diplomatic means regarding the Ukraine crisis as “positive”, at the same time, and in the words of the Secretary-General of the Alliance, Jens Stoltenberg, he is not overly optimistic, and believes that “there are no indications that Moscow is withdrawing its forces from the border.
With more caution and skepticism, the United States, through the American ambassador to NATO, Julian Smith, commented on the latest Russian move, noting that “the coming days will reveal the goal of the recent moves,” stressing that the Russian move is being verified.
This comes at a time when Kiev announced that its diplomatic efforts with Western allies contributed to “avoiding a greater Russian escalation.” He believes that diplomatic solutions still exist.
On the other hand, Russia reiterated – through President Vladimir Putin in a joint press conference with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz – that it does not want war, while at the same time it did not receive positive responses to its proposals that it had previously submitted regarding “common security”. .
Commenting on these developments, their implications and the most prominent expected scenarios, international relations expert Akram Hosam believes that “the step to withdraw some Russian units from the border with Ukraine should not be linked directly to the context of the conflict, because it is part of the current troop movement on Russia’s borders.”
He said that Moscow, since the beginning of the escalation of the situation, says that this measure is a sovereign measure and within the framework of the process of replacing and replacing some forces, mobilizing some elements, and returning some other elements that participated in maneuvers of its units again.
All of them are measures that must be placed in their correct military context, and Hossam describes them in exclusive statements to “Sky News Arabia” as mere “tactical steps” that have no impact on the strategic dimension of the situation.
He points out that the most important step is Russian President Vladimir Putin’s approval of the Russian Foreign Ministry’s draft on the response to security guarantees, a step that the international relations expert considers a positive indicator in terms of resolving the crisis, in parallel with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s visit to Russia and Ukraine. He spoke about the diplomatic opportunities still available to resolve the situation, as well as the French initiative.
“no blow soon”
All of them are indicators that “the military situation on the ground will not witness movements, as is currently rumored in the Western media that there is a military strike,” according to the international relations expert, who clarifies at the same time that “the military situation on the ground has not changed…what is happening is that there is an operation Terrible exaggeration in the Western media (…) There is a direct push by the Americans for Russia to take the war decision for strategic goals and dimensions, perhaps beyond Ukraine.”
The Kremlin had confirmed the start of a planned operation to withdraw part of the Russian forces deployed on the border with Ukraine, but stressed that Russia “will continue to move its soldiers around the country as it sees fit.”
The past days have witnessed American and Western allegations and warnings about Russia’s readiness to storm Ukraine, while Moscow has denied this on more than one occasion by a number of Russian officials.
The eastward expansion of NATO worries Russia and China. It presented a set of security proposals to the West, which Moscow says it has not received positive responses to.
The ball is in NATO’s court
The writer specializing in international relations, Osama Al-Dalil, describes the current scene as a scene of “preparations for war” while the intention of war practically does not exist, pointing out that these forces are moving on their lands, and some of them return to their bases and others are replaced, and the state of mobilization continues, and in light of ” Hysteria in the global media” and its repercussions on the world.
In estimating the evidence, “the current situation in Ukraine does not concern Russia or Ukraine alone, but concerns NATO, which is expanding to the east without considerations of geopolitical calculations and balances,” explaining that the real crisis is that “there is a great waste of the principles of geopolitical balance in this important region of the world, which The famous geopolitical scientist Halford J. Mackinder considered it the most dangerous region in the world in terms of geopolitical influence.
The idea of annexing Ukraine
In exclusive statements to “Sky News Arabia”, he explained that the current conflict should make NATO turn back to the West and give up the idea of annexing Ukraine, as well as the issue of excessive armament of Ukraine and missiles located in dangerous regions such as Poland and the Baltic states.
At the same time, he stressed that “Russia wants Ukraine to be a buffer zone between it and the European bloc…The Minsk Agreement came to set a framework for this, but it was not implemented in practice, and the scene is facing a complex situation at the level of international law and at the level of escalation.”
This scene reflects the changes that the map of strategic balances is witnessing in the world, in light of a new world order that is rearranging its papers in very dangerous contexts, including climate change, the Corona crisis, economic crises and others.